Conscious-Bather
0x02b1568bf58e4c84082df5f5560a9d96b2692611
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$39.68
Total PnL
$14.19
Realised
$13.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
18 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.24
$0.24
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
12 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$11.68
$0.70
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31?
3 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model for math on March 31?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.62
$0.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.97Mar 21, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.36Mar 21, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$200.00Mar 21, 07:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$140.52Mar 21, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$253.61Mar 21, 07:33 UTC
- REWARD$1.76Mar 21, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Mar 21, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$598.00Mar 20, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$310.60Mar 20, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$304.00Mar 19, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model for math on March 31?$2.62Mar 12, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$3.00Mar 12, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model for math on March 31?$3.00Mar 12, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?$2.00Mar 12, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$17.00Mar 12, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?$13.61Mar 12, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?$14.00Mar 12, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?$14.79Jan 24, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?$14.28Jan 24, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Hornets$0.00Nov 29, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $60.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.