Secret-Doctorate
0x02b765263f707a073c50f75546cf6e1423dc33cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
UFC Fight Night: Mingyang and Sterling
809 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-477.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
306 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
214 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-71.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5AM ET
211 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
209 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
UFC Fight Night: Will Zhang win by decision?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1AM ET
154 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- BARRIAULT
UFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. Barriault
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 1PM ET
115 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Mingyang and Sterling $400.00Aug 22, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Mingyang and Sterling $77.00Aug 22, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Will Zhang win by decision?$10.00Aug 21, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$40.00Aug 19, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$40.00Aug 19, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5AM ET$14.00Aug 17, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5AM ET$20.00Aug 17, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$35.00Aug 17, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$31.00Aug 17, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev$1.1KAug 17, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev$750.00Aug 12, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$34.00Aug 9, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4AM ET$20.00Jul 27, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder$46.51Jul 27, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder$20.00Jul 26, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Magomedov vs. Barriault$20.00Jul 26, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGhee$20.00Jul 26, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11AM ET$40.00Jul 26, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10AM ET$20.00Jul 26, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5AM ET$10.00Jul 26, 09:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $66.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.