Plain-Complicity
0x02c740827b8b81a6ddd034ca558f734583ca107b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-68.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?
342 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?
139 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.6% in March?
101 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
18 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$6.85Jun 12, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$5.16Jun 12, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.17Jun 12, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$11.54Jun 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$10.13Jun 12, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.25Jun 12, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.00Jun 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$1.07Jun 11, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.17Jun 11, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.25Jun 10, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.01Jun 10, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.53Jun 10, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.04Jun 10, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$2.32Jun 10, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$2.06Jun 10, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.41Jun 10, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.13Jun 10, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.02Jun 10, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.33Jun 10, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$1.02Jun 10, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.