Several-Olive
0x02c95bab8512ca161e9b92bf6920a1aa78beb7cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$711.18
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
2373 shares @ 42.1¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$605.00
$-395.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.18
$6.18
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?
1647 shares @ 60.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
687 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$21.00Apr 26, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$1000.00Apr 26, 18:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 23, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $510.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.