Windy-Asphalt
0x02dc3195fb8debae961b50e922dae7b8d40c89f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
198
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-621.03
Realised
$30.53
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 198- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
1150 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.45
- NO
US strikes Yemen by December 31?
800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.21
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
225 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- NO
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
180 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 9?
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of July 27 2026?$5.32Jul 27, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 28?$2.04Jun 28, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$2.53Jun 13, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$1.58Jun 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.06Jun 13, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$2.52Jun 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.94Jun 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$2.02Jun 12, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.02Jun 12, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$4.56Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$3.65Jun 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Child" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.70Mar 9, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Nets$7.00Mar 9, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "President Xi" during Miami address?$8.64Mar 9, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" during Miami address?$6.10Mar 9, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "President Xi" during Miami address?$6.00Mar 9, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)$11.36Mar 9, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)$10.00Mar 8, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "White House" or "Trump" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?$7.98Mar 8, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "White House" or "Trump" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?$2.60Mar 8, 05:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $3.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.