Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-55.8K

Realised

$-2.3K

Win rate

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 35

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
20933 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-11.3K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
11954 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-8.2K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
5807 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026
$0.00
$-3.5K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
5230 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-2.4K
NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Mavericks
4676 shares @ 49.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-2.3K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
3898 shares @ 57.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025
$0.00
$-2.3K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
3873 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025
$0.00
$-813.80
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 9AM ET
3613 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025
$0.00
$-2.0K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
3014 shares @ 32.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025
$0.00
$-980.48
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
2977 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025
$0.00
$-627.50

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$214.72Jan 19, 03:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$490.25Jan 19, 03:25 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry89 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk61 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $414.73
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 19, 02:31 UTC
Last active: Jan 19, 03:35 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 09:43:38 UTC·src:Polymarket Data