Gifted-Probability
0x0312e612917a11b24ca114f5c7051a1b29998a36
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-999.20
Realised
$-6.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
44019 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-592.85
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2025 meeting?
8354 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
4419 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2025 meeting?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$100.00Dec 10, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$71.11Dec 1, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$100.00Dec 1, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$171.11Nov 25, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$266.13Nov 25, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$100.00Nov 25, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$100.00Nov 24, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$100.00Nov 24, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$67.00Nov 18, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$467.39Nov 18, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$88.66Nov 15, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$500.00Nov 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$92.15Nov 14, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$106.39Nov 14, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$385.43Nov 14, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$382.42Nov 14, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$100.00Nov 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$100.00Nov 14, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$105.44Nov 8, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$71.43Nov 8, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $187.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 01:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.