Lavish-Incision
0x0315c7d0e12282b72bf4c2130870e579d42d3d4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$7.47
Total PnL
$-5.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US government shutdown Saturday?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
2 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$1.72
$0.02
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 390m by January 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.60
$0.00
- OVER
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5$5.50Mar 27, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$1.70Jan 31, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 390m by January 31?$1.60Jan 31, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)$2.00Jan 31, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.00Jan 31, 04:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $2.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 04:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.