Accurate-Feeling
0x03164171c5e2ac62ec4d081deb353b867229ab05
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-105.30
Win rate
0%
134 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
843 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.23
- YES
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
164 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
134 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
121 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
113 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
111 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
109 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
104 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
103 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 21?$10.02Jul 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 21?$10.70Jul 21, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?$5.23Jul 21, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 21?$5.23Jul 21, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 21?$5.23Jul 21, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on July 21?$5.21Jul 21, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 21?$5.18Jul 21, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 21?$5.11Jul 21, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 21?$5.13Jul 21, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 21?$5.06Jul 21, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on July 21?$5.20Jul 21, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 21?$5.22Jul 21, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 21?$5.19Jul 21, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 21?$5.13Jul 21, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 21?$5.24Jul 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 21?$5.20Jul 21, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 20?$7.04Jul 20, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 20?$15.15Jul 20, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on July 20?$8.86Jul 20, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 20?$5.07Jul 20, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 134 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
134 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 18:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 16:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 134 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.