Roasted-Resemblance
0x0322c3923c8d5cd41af5fff3b78b9462c4e41f36
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$153.46
Total PnL
$-69.22
Realised
$-8.71
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on August 12?
140 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$140.28
$0.28
- NO
Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.18
$-0.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?
1750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?
1367 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?
1167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- EX-ZERO TENACITY
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage
18 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- BLUES
Devils vs. Blues
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- ASHLYN KRUEGER
Miami Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Ashlyn Krueger
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- PACERS
Pistons vs. Pacers
8 shares @ 32.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on August 12?$140.02Aug 11, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 6 2026?$139.52Aug 11, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 6 2026?$139.02Jul 9, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $395 Week of June 22 2026?$139.24Jul 9, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $395 Week of June 22 2026?$139.01Jun 26, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs$5.12Jun 19, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 2?$134.13Jun 19, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 2?$134.01Jun 1, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs$2.24Jun 1, 08:13 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$6.85Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.23Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$115.11Jun 1, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$115.00May 31, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$3.20May 31, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$13.21May 31, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$118.52May 31, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C or higher on May 28?$13.27May 29, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$118.41May 29, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.20May 29, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?$132.13May 29, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $79.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 04:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 05:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.