Musty-Occasion
0x0328d33fa334682dbc870c03680f635aeb4c2f7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-71.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$16.18Sep 6, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$17.97Sep 6, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris solo interview before debate?$33.76Sep 6, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?$0.40Sep 5, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6?$10.00Aug 30, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris solo interview before debate?$7.54Aug 30, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?$17.53Aug 25, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?$13.15Aug 24, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK drop out before November?$0.00Aug 23, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK drop out before November?$13.16Aug 23, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$12.89Aug 23, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?$12.89Aug 23, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?$12.12Aug 21, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Recession in 2024?$9.20Aug 20, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK drop out before November?$10.00Aug 20, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25.00Aug 20, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $14.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 21:32 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 6, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.