Overjoyed-Glee
0x032aa3277e1d7970f0f5c7d66add7af5ace1cf07
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$41.22
Total PnL
$-231.78
Realised
$29.19
Win rate
48%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?
686 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.17
$5.49
- YES
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
805 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.83
$3.13
- YES
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
959 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.84
$2.78
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?
492 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.69
$-1.01
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
7156 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$3.58
$-4.07
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1980 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.97
$-7.53
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
1111 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$2.78
$-6.22
- YES
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
296 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.07
$1.48
- YES
Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?
173 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$1.81
$0.01
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by July 7?
300 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.65
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$2.26Jul 5, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$0.38Jul 5, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$0.62Jul 5, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?$2.70Jul 5, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$6.69Jul 5, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 7?$2.10Jul 5, 00:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$2.11Jul 5, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$1.40Jul 5, 00:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$1.43Jul 5, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$1.00Jul 4, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$2.00Jul 4, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$2.00Jul 4, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?$1.05Jul 4, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?$1.05Jul 4, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?$1.05Jul 4, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?$1.23Jul 4, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?$1.93Jul 4, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?$3.23Jul 4, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 15?$2.17Jul 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 7?$1.00Jul 4, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
48% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 01:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.