Celebrated-Carbon
0x032d912b3a30d059ead309e5315c3e0f42407168
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$543.93
Total PnL
$-244.11
Realised
$-18.46
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
275 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 16, 2027$194.04
$1.38
- YES
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
428 shares @ 39.4¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$141.32
$-27.41
- YES
Will Julio Enciso score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
326 shares @ 22.8¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$84.71
$10.33
- YES
Will Bruno Guimarães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
139 shares @ 35.9¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$58.58
$8.58
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
313 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.34
$-2.66
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
321 shares @ 5.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.55
$-1.45
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.03
$2.03
- YES
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.75
$-4.75
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
633 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.90
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?$3.86Jun 14, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?$1.00Jun 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?$1.48Jun 14, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?$1.10Jun 14, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score$30.59Jun 14, 05:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.23Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?$202.40Jun 13, 12:24 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.71Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$86.21Jun 12, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$25.53Jun 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$25.57Jun 12, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$263.16Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$101.86Jun 11, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$5.14Jun 11, 20:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$20.00Jun 9, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $45.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 11:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.