Relieved-Lizard
0x033024a8e86e5521f2a3af5360890faf5d15a0e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.51
Total PnL
$-6.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
18 shares @ 11.2¢·now 14.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.62
$0.62
- YES
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
6 shares @ 17.3¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$0.89
$-0.11
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 23?
138 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 10?
27 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 11?
19 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 11?$1.00Apr 9, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 10?$1.00Apr 9, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$2.00Apr 8, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?$6.17Apr 8, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.00Mar 26, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2026?$1.00Mar 23, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on March 23?$1.00Mar 23, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$2.00Mar 23, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?$5.00Mar 23, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.