Miserable-Poison
0x0346afae2603313d2bbee96b628536c8cbe352a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$697.2K
Total PnL
$-430.6K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
138692 shares @ 91.9¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$127.7K
$223.15
- NO
Australia leading at halftime?
44448 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$38.0K
$222.24
- NO
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
43320 shares @ 78.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$34.0K
$216.60
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
37828 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$33.5K
$189.14
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
56975 shares @ 56.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$33.3K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
39446 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$32.1K
$-201.17
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
25208 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$22.6K
$126.04
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
51548 shares @ 41.9¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$21.4K
$-206.81
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
34441 shares @ 60.6¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$20.8K
$-22.52
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
43196 shares @ 47.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$20.1K
$-215.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$11.50Jun 19, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5$3.75Jun 19, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$23.00Jun 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye leading at halftime?$166.40Jun 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Türkiye (-1.5)$3.17Jun 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5$10.50Jun 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$22.31Jun 19, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay leading at halftime?$1.66Jun 19, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$57.50Jun 19, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$11.50Jun 19, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye leading at halftime?$9.29Jun 19, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5$3.00Jun 19, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5$10.50Jun 19, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$66.86Jun 19, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$92.00Jun 19, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5$75.00Jun 19, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$11.50Jun 19, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTürkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5$75.00Jun 19, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Morocco (-1.5)$65.10Jun 19, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$230.00Jun 19, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$114.6K
Trades
15
Buy share
100%
Window
May 20, 20:20 UTC → Jun 19, 03:27 UTC
- BUYWill Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?$12.2K@92¢Jun 19, 03:27 UTC
- BUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$13.1K@93¢Jun 18, 21:55 UTC
- BUYWill France win on 2026-06-22?$5.6K@89¢Jun 18, 21:16 UTC
- BUYWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$11.9K@81¢Jun 18, 01:27 UTC
- BUYWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$7.5K@80¢Jun 18, 00:47 UTC
- BUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-17?$8.9K@80¢Jun 18, 00:37 UTC
- BUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$8.7K@80¢Jun 15, 16:48 UTC
- BUYWill Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$6.4K@94¢Jun 15, 04:16 UTC
- BUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$5.1K@48¢Jun 15, 02:02 UTC
- BUYWill Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?$7.3K@98¢Jun 14, 07:02 UTC
- BUYWill Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$5.2K@75¢Jun 11, 22:30 UTC
- BUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$5.1K@69¢Jun 11, 09:06 UTC
- BUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$5.8K@80¢Jun 10, 16:45 UTC
- BUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$6.6K@94¢Jun 8, 19:22 UTC
- BUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$5.3K@96¢May 20, 20:14 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 15 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$86.6K
10 trades
30d volume
$114.6K
15 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
medium
15 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
$19.3K · 17% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $158.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 16:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.