Wallet digest

active

Activity score

53/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$1.02

Total PnL

$-12.5K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 51

NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025
$1.02
$0.02
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025
$0.00
$-250.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 31, 08:59 UTC
REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.02Oct 31, 08:56 UTC
TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 20, 06:23 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$500.00Oct 18, 20:01 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$500.00Oct 18, 20:01 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$250.00Oct 18, 19:21 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$250.00Oct 18, 19:21 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$250.00Oct 18, 18:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$250.00Oct 18, 18:22 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$250.00Oct 18, 17:14 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$250.00Oct 18, 17:13 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$495.00Oct 17, 06:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$250.00Oct 17, 06:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$250.00Oct 17, 05:58 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Oct 17, 05:54 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$500.00Oct 17, 05:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$250.00Oct 17, 01:03 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$250.00Oct 17, 01:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$500.00Oct 17, 01:01 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$250.00Oct 17, 00:19 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry98 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk83 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 39
Avg trade size: $153.77
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 16, 21:11 UTC
Last active: Oct 31, 08:59 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:48:05 UTC·src:Polymarket Data