Well-Groomed-Campanile
0x035659901ee6d84c724784737d6705dce44615ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.27
Total PnL
$-38.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" this week?
15 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$1.27
$-0.82
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
160 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
80 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 90°F or higher on February 19?
60 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on February 15?
30 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
25 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 16?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 17?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" this week?$2.17Jul 28, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?$5.00Jul 22, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$1.31Jul 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$0.69Jul 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?$1.21Jul 21, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?$0.54Jul 21, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.00Jul 21, 09:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 18:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.