Genuine-Plum
0x0358d8192f9d79f054d60a70b3782d4fe6d4e50c
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.04
Total PnL
$3.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$5.00
$3.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$5.00
$3.55
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$2.13Jun 25, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.73Jun 25, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.52Jun 25, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.45May 31, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$4.94May 26, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.15May 26, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$2.40May 26, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$3.43May 26, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$2.54May 26, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?$0.00May 14, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$3.07May 14, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$3.23May 14, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?$0.18May 12, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?$0.17May 12, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?$0.24May 12, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?$0.04May 12, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?$0.06May 12, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?$0.20May 12, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?$0.03May 12, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 13?$0.09May 12, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 15:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.