Happy-Go-Lucky-Colorlessness
0x035b5997f1145548f184dda000b4c892725aa918
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$50.73
Total PnL
$-0.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
16 shares @ 97.1¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$15.42
$-0.13
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
17 shares @ 90.9¢·now 87.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.77
$-0.55
- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
11 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$10.99
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.55
$-0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$11.05Jul 27, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.79Jul 27, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$8.47Jul 27, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$7.06Jul 27, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$1.45Jul 27, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$10.98Jul 27, 03:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$4.77Jul 26, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?$9.62Jul 26, 04:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?$10.98Jul 24, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.49Jul 24, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$8.53Jul 24, 19:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$11.35Jul 23, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$11.35Jul 23, 14:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.