Gleaming-Familiar
0x035fa6cf792ae231501a99b554315ac2b62a33eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.10
Realised
$45.77
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?
500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
- NO
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
400 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- YES
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?
250 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- NO
Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?
220 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
217 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- YES
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?
204 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.73
- YES
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?
200 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- NO
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
200 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- YES
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30?
200 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?
200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.05Jul 5, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$0.05Jul 5, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$0.15Jul 5, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$0.20Jul 5, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?$2.55Jul 5, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$0.40Jul 5, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$3.15Jul 5, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.35Jun 27, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$0.90Jun 21, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$0.05Jun 21, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$0.10Jun 21, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$0.05Jun 21, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$0.10Jun 21, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$0.25Jun 21, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$2.35Jun 21, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$0.00Jun 21, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?$0.00Jun 21, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$0.00Jun 21, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?$0.00Jun 21, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$0.00Jun 21, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.