0x03632e86d2d053570b035ae18a68440fdfa8d67a
0x03632e86d2d053570b035ae18a68440fdfa8d67a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$446.65
Total PnL
$-915.80
Realised
$4.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21603 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$313.24
$-114.39
- YES
Japan leading at halftime?
102 shares @ 46.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$45.74
$-1.02
- OVER
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5
153 shares @ 31.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$44.42
$-3.06
- JAPAN
Spread: Japan (-2.5)
154 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$23.85
$-0.77
- YES
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
56 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$12.67
$0.28
- OVER
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
29 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$6.73
$-0.14
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
306 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-98.00
- NO
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
256 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-48.68
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
239 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-90.99
- YES
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score
205 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-53.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5$7.03Jun 19, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan leading at halftime?$47.51Jun 19, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5$48.47Jun 19, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Japan (-2.5)$25.24Jun 19, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Australia end in a draw?$12.68Jun 19, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5$26.70Jun 19, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5$50.66Jun 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score$54.36Jun 18, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5$28.74Jun 18, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$15.77Jun 18, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$13.62Jun 18, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$29.53Jun 18, 01:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-17?$16.15Jun 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$24.54Jun 17, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$132.72Jun 17, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$156.36Jun 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$111.98Jun 17, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$38.42Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $37.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.