Minor-Mind
0x036676a306af6549ccc92ca2d95a5b4b4e97a001
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-23.0K
Realised
$-688.81
Win rate
1%
186 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
3720 shares @ 22.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$911.28
$89.63
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
25001 shares @ 4.8¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$787.53
$-416.26
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
10340 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$672.08
$-155.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
20000 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$570.00
$-378.46
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
560 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$81.20
$-2.80
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
550000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
536048 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-531.97
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
381027 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-381.03
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
130000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-859.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$20.41Aug 16, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.22Aug 16, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.09Aug 16, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.09Aug 16, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$2.09Aug 16, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.21Aug 16, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.20Aug 16, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.19Aug 16, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$47.43Aug 16, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.20Aug 16, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$2.07Aug 16, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.18Aug 16, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.18Aug 16, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.18Aug 16, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$5.18Aug 16, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$27.03Aug 16, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.20Aug 16, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$5.20Aug 16, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$2.11Aug 16, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$2.11Aug 16, 03:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 186 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
186 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 04:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 186 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.