Cautious-Standing
0x0379e8033363868ee7c9e2aa35ccf513007e0fec
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$671.75
Total PnL
$-13.32
Realised
$-3.67
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
403 shares @ 89.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$376.82
$16.82
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
129 shares @ 57.9¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.32
$-7.68
- NO
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.06
$3.06
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
41 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$40.54
$25.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
38 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$38.01
$0.23
- DOWN
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?
22 shares @ 20.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$22.16
$17.70
- NO
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
17 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.06
$0.60
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.82
$7.21
- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 52.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.47
$5.47
- DOWN
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 13?
10 shares @ 41.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$10.10
$5.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 13?$4.15Feb 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 13?$4.15Feb 13, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$2.25Feb 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$0.24Feb 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$3.15Feb 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$2.77Feb 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$2.70Feb 12, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$1.50Feb 12, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$1.60Feb 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$1.65Feb 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$1.70Feb 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$1.75Feb 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$1.75Feb 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$2.70Feb 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$1.85Feb 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$2.05Feb 12, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$1.95Feb 12, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$2.05Feb 12, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$2.05Feb 12, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 12?$2.10Feb 12, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 14:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 14:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".