Chief-Draw
0x0384445fce992866015a3639bcfb81305cc4728c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
186
Open notional
$6.81
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$3.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 186- YES
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$3.60
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
35 shares @ 50.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.42
$-16.34
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 7.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.40
$-0.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
1734 shares @ 78.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
686 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-366.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
673 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
286 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-143.33
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-148.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$5.00Dec 9, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$11.80Dec 9, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$7.04Dec 9, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$7.04Dec 9, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$5.00Dec 9, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or below on December 8?$5.00Dec 9, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$7.98Dec 8, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.75Dec 8, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$3.74Dec 8, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$3.94Dec 8, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$8.28Dec 8, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$1.65Dec 8, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$2.40Dec 8, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$0.54Dec 8, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$1.62Dec 8, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$3.16Dec 8, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$1.62Dec 8, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$1.40Dec 8, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$2.18Dec 8, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$1.19Dec 8, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $14.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 03:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.