Extra-Large-Apartment
0x0390e3522cb4649a4dfb084f2436e51acafdddc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$2.59
Total PnL
$-382.41
Realised
$-19.26
Win rate
63%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
255 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-1.60
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
125 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.81
$0.44
- YES
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$-4.63
- YES
Will China win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading?
2205 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1770 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.53
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
1434 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.63
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
1196 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
1074 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.37
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?$2.37May 15, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.40May 15, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEM1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?$0.00May 2, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by April 30?$2.93Mar 27, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$2.93Mar 27, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$1.03Mar 25, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$1.03Mar 24, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19?$9.99Mar 19, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?$6.66Mar 19, 00:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$16.65Mar 19, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19?$1.00Mar 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 18, 2026?$1.98Mar 18, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$2.71Mar 18, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?$5.68Mar 18, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.05Mar 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$0.82Mar 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?$2.24Mar 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$0.76Mar 18, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$1.72Mar 18, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.17Mar 17, 02:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.