0x0393b7a4c1e4a72564bf8287c7d1471ac9a61130
0x0393b7a4c1e4a72564bf8287c7d1471ac9a61130
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$6.1K
Win rate
58%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
NHL: Will the Wild beat the Kraken by more than 1.5 goals in their April 22, 8:00 PM ET matchup?
2222 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2022$2.2K
$1.1K
- NO
Will the Nets beat the Knicks by more than 6.5 points in their April 6 (7.30 PM ET) matchup?
7431 shares @ 69.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2022$0.00
$-5.1K
- YES
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on May 1, 2022?
4988 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2022$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
2022 NBA Playoffs: Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?
3875 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2022$0.00
$-921.13
- NO
NBA: Will the Grizzlies beat the Timberwolves by more than 6.5 points in their April 19, 8:30 PM ET matchup?
2986 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2022$0.00
$-247.65
- NO
NHL: Will the Wild beat the Kraken by more than 1.5 goals in their April 22, 8:00 PM ET matchup?
2222 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2022$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022?
2052 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2022$0.00
$-260.32
- NO
NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Raptors by more than 4.5 points in their April 16, 6:00 PM ET matchup?
1478 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2022$0.00
$-370.97
- NO
NBA: Will the Hawks beat the Cavaliers by more than 2.5 points in their April 15 (7:30 PM ET) matchup?
1214 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2022$0.00
$-634.45
- NO
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination?
1079 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2022$0.00
$-539.32
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.