Well-Off-Plight
0x039c36ee72097197516c250bcea4f4a743ac1318
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-156.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 11?
273 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 13?
272 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?
265 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 11?
262 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 12?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?
241 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?
184 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 27?
166 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?
137 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
107 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?$78.58Jun 4, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4?$2.88Jun 3, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?$2.16May 31, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 28?$1.10May 27, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$68.20May 26, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$36.65May 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$28.82May 25, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 25?$2.84May 24, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 23?$2.06May 23, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?$22.53May 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 12?$1.90May 12, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?$72.86May 10, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 4?$0.00Apr 28, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 10?$0.00Apr 20, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 14?$2.60Apr 13, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 10?$0.00Apr 13, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 30-April 5?$71.33Apr 5, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 30?$71.90Apr 5, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?$16.47Mar 31, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?$4.71Mar 31, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $15.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 16:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 17:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.