Sophisticated-Exit
0x03a267f8209691ca7f1a66df65effcefe450dc06
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$314.96
Total PnL
$15.05
Realised
$4.43
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
84 shares @ 57.8¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.02
$2.26
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
48 shares @ 68.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.22
$2.64
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
32 shares @ 62.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.94
$6.94
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
143 shares @ 11.4¢·now 13.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.79
$2.38
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
18 shares @ 82.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.19
$1.19
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.98
$5.98
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
21 shares @ 46.5¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$12.68
$2.68
- NO
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
17 shares @ 75.5¢·now 75.1¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$12.43
$-0.06
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.58
$1.58
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.48
$0.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?$4.56Jun 6, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?$7.00Jun 6, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$17.21Jun 6, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$3.97Jun 5, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 14+ launches in June 2026?$5.04Jun 5, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.91Jun 5, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$11.92Jun 5, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$5.25Jun 4, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$6.08Jun 4, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?$6.08Jun 4, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$17.43Jun 4, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$32.58Jun 2, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$32.53Jun 2, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$9.75Jun 2, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$9.80Jun 2, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$25.02Jun 2, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 2, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$2.92Jun 2, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?$2.20Jun 2, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?$0.74Jun 2, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 02:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".