Careful-Thaw
0x03b6f393832d060b9df462a2b73fdf713ebfdc6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-456.03
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7PM ET
1053 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3AM ET
915 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.35
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
863 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-155.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
764 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-439.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
649 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
606 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-108.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
332 shares @ 74.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-247.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
319 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-273.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
318 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-197.22
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
287 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-197.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$108.74Apr 3, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$10.00Apr 3, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$50.00Apr 3, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$20.00Apr 3, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$43.63Apr 2, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$10.00Apr 2, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$20.00Apr 2, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$15.33Apr 2, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$5.00Apr 2, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$16.20Apr 2, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$5.00Apr 2, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$4.65Apr 2, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$18.91Apr 2, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$4.99Apr 2, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$4.65Apr 2, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$9.30Apr 2, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10.64Apr 2, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$31.62Apr 2, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$50.00Apr 2, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$43.57Apr 2, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $36.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".