Intent-Waterwheel
0x03b9b381b8b62c6ec9fd20a7afdbdab62bc87e74
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$38.36
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?
1880 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-554.43
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?
1600 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-61.00
- YES
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2025-12-13?
1300 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-136.00
- BV BORUSSIA 09 DORTMUND
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN FC
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- OVER
FC Barcelona vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5
800 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-343.99
- YES
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-20?
700 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-7.70
- YES
Will Vitória SC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?
700 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-7.70
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?
550 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-302.50
- YES
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-20?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$0.38Apr 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$16.72Apr 20, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$0.28Apr 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$1.85Apr 19, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$1.85Apr 19, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$3.18Apr 19, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$0.61Apr 19, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$0.61Apr 19, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$19.00Apr 19, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$1.84Apr 19, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?$3.47Apr 19, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sudan win on 2025-12-31?$0.20Dec 31, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?$122.40Dec 26, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?$432.00Dec 26, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt vs. South Africa end in a draw?$1.66Dec 26, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2025-12-26?$1.00Dec 26, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?$29.66Dec 26, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt vs. South Africa end in a draw?$6.00Dec 26, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?$80.00Dec 26, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?$8.00Dec 26, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $30.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".