Dangerous-Washcloth
0x03bc97aea53fe9eb8e1c49435f299756033d530c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$117.82
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-1.97
Win rate
50%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$85.50
$-0.50
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?
60 shares @ 12.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$11.70
$4.50
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
600 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.20
$-4.80
- YES
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
33 shares @ 16.9¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.17
$-4.33
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
626 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-365.00
- YES
Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
544 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 28?
482 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?
293 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-148.57
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
207 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-63.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$86.00May 19, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?$17.15May 19, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMHamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikata$1.12May 19, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Ursa vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage$2.74May 19, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$3.28May 19, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMInternationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykova$3.45May 19, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: University War vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season$4.71May 19, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengaluru 3: Aradhya Kshitij vs Alastair Gray$4.00May 19, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengaluru 3: Karan Singh vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong$2.02May 19, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$154.17May 19, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$197.71May 19, 04:50 UTC
- REWARD$0.13May 19, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.63May 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?$1.56May 18, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: University War vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season$4.02May 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?$5.84May 18, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$30.50May 18, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$122.00May 18, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikata$1.00May 18, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$2.05May 18, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $56.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".