Gregarious-Rebel
0x03c2264d9a59cf172335ba512a48305b30150afa
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$7.78
Total PnL
$-7.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.03
$1.03
- WARRIORS
Warriors vs. Grizzlies
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2025$3.03
$1.03
- YES
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$1.72
$0.72
- YES
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
156 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Grizzlies$2.00Apr 1, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?$2.00Apr 1, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$3.00Apr 1, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?$2.00Apr 1, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea before May?$1.00Apr 1, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$5.61Apr 1, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$6.09Apr 1, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City wins the Premier League?$8.25Apr 1, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win La Liga?$8.67Apr 1, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?$10.25Apr 1, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$19.17Apr 1, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$19.90Apr 1, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Gaetz be a member of the Trump administration?$0.00Apr 1, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMLinea airdrop in Q1 2025?$0.00Apr 1, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?$10.42Apr 1, 17:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matt Gaetz be a member of the Trump administration?$23.88Apr 1, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLinea airdrop in Q1 2025?$5.00Feb 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$4.51Feb 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$8.16Feb 16, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 17:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.