Warm-Insurrection
0x03c3f82de18a6be279b63b7f8ba9878ba749a6ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-824.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 5PM ET
212 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-106.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
207 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-103.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
205 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-102.50
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
205 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-100.45
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 11PM ET
201 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-100.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
180 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
179 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-89.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
174 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-87.00
- NO
Fight to Go the Distance?
122 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-31.72
- UNDER
O/U 1.5 Rounds
112 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-13.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$50.00May 25, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$48.80May 22, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ducks (-1.5)$116.00Dec 10, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Stars (-1.5)$154.00Dec 10, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$103.50Dec 9, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$102.50Dec 9, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Stars (-1.5)$104.72Dec 9, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Lightning (-1.5)$119.00Dec 9, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMEagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 20.5$192.00Dec 9, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ducks (-1.5)$85.84Dec 9, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$5.00Dec 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$85.00Dec 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$89.50Dec 8, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$204.00Dec 8, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$102.00Dec 8, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 20.5$7.35Dec 8, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEagles vs. Chargers: 1H O/U 20.5$86.73Dec 8, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5$190.00Dec 8, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Lightning (-1.5)$84.49Dec 8, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$172.00Dec 8, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $63.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 11:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".