Jovial-Armchair
0x03ca60c644c4b33c4f62c55d7bdf4a17e6a3a7af
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-68.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will FTX relaunch by June 30?
883 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2023$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
370 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
- YES
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
232 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?
38 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2023$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2023$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$3.79Feb 9, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$0.01Feb 9, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Feb 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.00Feb 9, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.00Feb 9, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.00Feb 9, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$3.00Feb 9, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.00Feb 9, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$39.97Jan 11, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?$3.00Jan 8, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$31.00Jan 8, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$22.73Dec 7, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$4.76Dec 6, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$5.00Dec 5, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$13.00Dec 5, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-01?$5.00Dec 1, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$5.18Dec 1, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$47.70Dec 1, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$4.85Dec 1, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$5.00Dec 1, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 10:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".