Rotating-Regard
0x03d2a2072ca1967f29b5b64c7f0cc4ba1c22e29d
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-526.95
Realised
$-17.64
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
1134 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 19?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- PRESTON NORTH END FC
Spread: Preston North End FC (-1.5)
660 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 20?
611 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- WALTON
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Adam Walton
440 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
348 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.44
- OVER
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5
180 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
105 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- BUCKS
Thunder vs. Bucks
79 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 19?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.00Mar 3, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$0.00Mar 3, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.00Mar 3, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$2.04Mar 3, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$2.00Mar 3, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$2.08Mar 3, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$2.00Mar 3, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
18% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 07:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.