Affectionate-Hospital
0x03de4d62ae1bcb77623f3481c4735ff8133133a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-58.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
1879 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
238 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Martyna Baran (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
157 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
153 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Immunefi FDV above $1B one day after launch?
80 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Joep Wennemars (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.20Mar 6, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 12, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?$2.50Feb 12, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?$1.28Feb 12, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Martyna Baran (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 8, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 8, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joep Wennemars (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 1000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 8, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anton Grahn (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Men's Sprint Classic at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 8, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 8, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?$10.99Feb 8, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 8, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLCilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?$0.94Jan 29, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$3.00Jan 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$11.00Jan 17, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$14.03Jan 16, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$18.00Jan 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?$6.43Jan 13, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$11.15Jan 13, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by January 31?$8.00Jan 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?$8.01Jan 13, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 21:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.