Creamy-Abdomen
0x03e4c01a71a90bf893c93c93536dcfd3b0d02d3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
86
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-297.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 4?
1005 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 20?
32 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.39
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
20 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 22?
20 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 22?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 12?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 12?
20 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 29?
15 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 21?
10 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 14?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 20?$0.00Jul 24, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?$0.54Jul 23, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?$4.71Jul 23, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?$103.07Jul 23, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 22?$53.82Jul 22, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?$53.50Jul 22, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 22?$28.66Jul 22, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 22?$24.69Jul 22, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?$21.83Jul 21, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?$27.86Jul 21, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 21?$49.94Jul 21, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 21?$53.24Jul 21, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 20?$0.00Jul 21, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 21?$49.66Jul 21, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 21?$53.17Jul 21, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 20?$0.00Jul 21, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?$73.05Jul 21, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 20?$20.06Jul 21, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 20?$10.03Jul 21, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?$72.72Jul 21, 00:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $26.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 21:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.