Rare-Permit
0x0402ae500329e12b8c62588ff1fddf67a5a0b0e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.86
Realised
$-1.27
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will "Valentine" or "Valentine's" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
454 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 18?
377 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
287 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "People" be said 100+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (February 22)
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump's remarks in Rome, GA not air?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
62 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Hottest" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
61 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Black Plastic" this week? (March 8)$1.00Mar 5, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Donated" or "Raised" during his next YouTube video?$1.00Mar 5, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 2, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 2, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 2, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 2, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 2, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 2, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 2, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Mar 2, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.00Feb 27, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 240k initial jobless claims during the week ending February 21, 2026?$1.01Feb 27, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary's remarks not air?$1.02Feb 26, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "Iran" on Truth Social this week?$1.02Feb 26, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.82Feb 20, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 11:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.