Unwelcome-Grin
0x0404bf5d24bfc14f7102930b876d182434a48353
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$10.3K
Total PnL
$46.03
Realised
$154.25
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2472 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.1K
$27.28
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1400 shares @ 85.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$29.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
930 shares @ 78.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$776.55
$44.75
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2879 shares @ 21.5¢·now 23.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$663.59
$43.85
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2640 shares @ 26.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$613.78
$-72.39
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
3263 shares @ 16.8¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$505.73
$-41.86
- NO
Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
509 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$498.96
$4.84
- NO
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
540 shares @ 92.2¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$491.40
$-6.30
- YES
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
433 shares @ 86.3¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$387.90
$13.67
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
840 shares @ 46.9¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$386.40
$-8.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.51Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.07Jun 13, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39.85Jun 13, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.99Jun 13, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.99Jun 13, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03Jun 13, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.16Jun 13, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.23Jun 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.63Jun 13, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.96Jun 13, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$890.07Jun 13, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$135.41Jun 13, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.65Jun 13, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86.51Jun 13, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.94Jun 13, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.73Jun 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$363.46Jun 13, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$459.64Jun 13, 11:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$304.38Jun 12, 05:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $92.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.