Shocked-Drama
0x0408c084014487e37e8287d642833e742fa23d68
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-913.06
Realised
$91.38
Win rate
53%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 14?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on March 18?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 15?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?
309 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on January 1?
252 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 6?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 56°F or below on December 13?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scott Seiver win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 18?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?$15.00Apr 13, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 13?$1.94Apr 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 13?$1.00Apr 13, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 13?$2.26Apr 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 13?$1.74Apr 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 13?$10.05Apr 13, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 13?$0.80Apr 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?$1.60Apr 12, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?$2.40Apr 12, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?$1.50Apr 12, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?$11.34Apr 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?$1.50Apr 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?$4.25Apr 12, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 12?$1.38Apr 12, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 12?$1.37Apr 12, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on April 12?$0.23Apr 12, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?$2.32Apr 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 12?$1.75Apr 12, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 12?$6.64Apr 12, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 12?$3.06Apr 12, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".