Watchful-Tapioca
0x041cd7926ad61eaccdb83f7d901a173234673056
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
89
Open notional
$221.07
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?
384 shares @ 52.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$221.07
$21.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
632 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-332.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
304 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-161.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
262 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-136.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
150 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
144 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
126 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
97 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$6.49May 17, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.42May 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.32May 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.25May 17, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.17May 17, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.00May 17, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$132.11May 17, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$10.31May 17, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$61.99May 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$51.70May 17, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.15May 17, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.00May 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.42May 17, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.13May 17, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.13May 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.14May 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5.09May 17, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00May 17, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$25.47May 17, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$25.72May 17, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $20.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".