Realistic-Policy
0x042140ed86b0db5eed7800bbf7c882db62be4480
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.7K
Realised
$-132.34
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
14523 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
10034 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
4000 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
2031 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
2000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
1000 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
743 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-389.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
607 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
400 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-212.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.86Jun 4, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.03Jun 4, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$2.03Jun 4, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.52Jun 4, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.04Jun 4, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.03Jun 4, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$16.98Jun 4, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$10.92Jun 4, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$2.05Jun 4, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.04Jun 4, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$39.15Jun 4, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$22.30Jun 4, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$3.14Jun 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.46Jun 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$0.19Jun 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$4.72Jun 4, 03:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$6.65Jun 4, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$9.95Jun 4, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.04Jun 4, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.04Jun 4, 02:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 09:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 05:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".