Optimal-Bog
0x04365d15384a01d67e368eb4681a972b336071c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$52.45
Total PnL
$-235.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
27 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.45
$0.45
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.13
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
5 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.17
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 5?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$2.71
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
2 shares @ 87.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.28
$0.28
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 4?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- ISLANDERS
Capitals vs. Islanders
515 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-236.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$4.88Mar 3, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$4.83Mar 3, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 5?$2.70Mar 3, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 4?$2.00Mar 3, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?$3.00Mar 3, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$3.00Mar 3, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$3.00Mar 3, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.00Mar 3, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$26.00Mar 3, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$51.96Mar 3, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Islanders$236.78Nov 30, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$50.55Nov 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$0.58Nov 14, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?$51.13Nov 14, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?$50.62Oct 10, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $5.00 in September?$50.62Oct 10, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $5.00 in September?$50.52Sep 22, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.50 in August?$50.52Sep 22, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.50 in August?$49.66Aug 4, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?$49.66Aug 4, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $26.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 21, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 11:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.