Warlike-Sleepiness
0x04384bab3d9a3fcf7817e416bb0a4dd07bf2962b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.17
Total PnL
$-57.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?
6008 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?
1610 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)$1.00Mar 10, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8?$1.00Feb 6, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $150 in February?$1.00Feb 6, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$1.00Feb 3, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.00Feb 3, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.00Jan 31, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.00Jan 31, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.00Jan 26, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Jan 25, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 24?$2.00Jan 24, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$1.00Jan 24, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 24?$1.00Jan 24, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 24, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?$2.00Jan 24, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?$5.00Jan 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?$5.00Jan 23, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?$5.00Jan 23, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 14:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.