Ample-Greed
0x0438cceedcc7de0e12e7f5f2758c9a05f915307b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
164
Open notional
$171.32
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$23.82
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 164- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
156 shares @ 77.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$137.87
$17.88
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.50
$5.50
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
24 shares @ 41.7¢·now 33.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.95
$-2.05
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
311 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-29.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
261 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
161 shares @ 67.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-108.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
138 shares @ 79.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-109.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
106 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-99.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$43.86Jun 6, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$25.75Jun 6, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$25.88Jun 6, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$29.76Jun 6, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$31.52Jun 6, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$40.32Jun 6, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$49.02Jun 6, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$27.78Jun 6, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$25.28Jun 6, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$110.61Jun 6, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$335.85Jun 6, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$25.66May 12, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$25.33May 12, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$25.36May 12, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$25.86May 11, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$35.71May 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.24May 11, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-05-09?$24.69May 11, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$26.60May 11, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$31.65May 11, 14:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $30.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 04:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 14:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.