Frayed-Expedition
0x04441395fca4859d0e466b664235b6d1ec5e7769
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
181
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$58.69
Win rate
60%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 181- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET
742 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-423.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 9 at 5PM ET?
487 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on August 9 at 5PM ET?
467 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1PM ET
466 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-242.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on August 8 at 5PM ET?
460 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6AM ET
457 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-194.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5AM ET
419 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-199.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8PM ET
400 shares @ 61.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-247.61
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3900 on July 29 at 5PM ET?
376 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-158.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 10AM ET
373 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-190.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$169.12Aug 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$22.40Aug 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$132.16Aug 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$2.24Aug 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$2.24Aug 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$62.72Aug 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$1.54Aug 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$0.70Aug 9, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$0.56Aug 9, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$0.70Aug 9, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$19.09Aug 9, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$1.40Aug 9, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$5.60Aug 9, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$1.40Aug 9, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$1.26Aug 9, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$0.70Aug 9, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 9, 2PM ET$0.14Aug 9, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $117K on August 9 at 5PM ET?$252.45Aug 9, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on August 9 at 5PM ET?$71.07Aug 9, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1PM ET$100.45Aug 9, 17:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $65.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".