Repulsive-Cobweb
0x0445bbada9d67473c024e9793a0b56a05134da5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$109.31
Win rate
72%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
3199 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-119.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
3136 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
2776 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-398.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
2328 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-219.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
2309 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
1993 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-318.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
1990 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
1956 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-160.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
1334 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-680.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$95.23May 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$93.52May 25, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$66.96May 25, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$31.34May 25, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$3.10May 23, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$20.73May 23, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.33May 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.30May 23, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$18.31May 21, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$10.41May 21, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$134.28May 21, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$31.37May 21, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$175.40May 21, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$111.11May 21, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$128.76May 21, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$125.44May 21, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$19.02May 21, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$12.32May 21, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$117.72May 21, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$91.64May 21, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $142.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 07:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.