Lovable-Hutch
0x044f334595a7fd42c143e11c8ec47f23c8d1d1f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
195
Open notional
$14.5K
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$229.33
Win rate
83%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 195- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30?
766 shares @ 76.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$697.32
$112.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 30?
732 shares @ 82.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$684.33
$84.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31?
1539 shares @ 34.3¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$677.27
$149.38
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 30?
701 shares @ 50.3¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$676.82
$324.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 30?
714 shares @ 58.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$560.62
$146.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 30?
682 shares @ 71.7¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$539.08
$49.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 30?
620 shares @ 80.6¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$477.08
$-22.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 31?
829 shares @ 44.3¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$414.37
$46.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 30?
735 shares @ 57.7¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$403.99
$-19.89
- NO
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
380 shares @ 94.1¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$371.17
$13.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 31?$75.22Jul 30, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 31?$10.38Jul 30, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 1?$0.60Jul 30, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C or higher on August 1?$0.11Jul 30, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 31?$3.13Jul 30, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 1?$0.88Jul 30, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 31?$4.84Jul 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 1?$7.50Jul 30, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 31?$5.84Jul 30, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 31?$123.61Jul 30, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 1?$0.70Jul 30, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 31?$11.36Jul 30, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 31?$11.82Jul 30, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 1?$0.61Jul 30, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C or higher on August 1?$0.13Jul 30, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?$42.66Jul 30, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?$127.70Jul 30, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 31?$3.99Jul 30, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 1?$2.70Jul 30, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 1?$0.81Jul 30, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $36.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 11:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.