Focused-Disagreement
0x045305c2846dbcee0322155297a4e4bad95a558e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 3?
259 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?
258 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 31?
250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 8?
248 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 17?
245 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.18
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on January 11?
240 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?
217 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 3?
184 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.93
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 16?
182 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?
155 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$125.63May 26, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 26?$123.49May 25, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$2.98May 23, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?$106.52May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?$103.96May 16, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 14?$2.16May 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 11?$1.90May 11, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 8?$2.76May 7, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?$128.38May 7, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 7?$0.00Apr 27, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 18?$1.23Apr 18, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on January 1?$0.00Apr 18, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 16?$2.94Apr 16, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on January 12?$0.00Apr 10, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?$1.95Apr 1, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.80 December 29-January 4?$0.00Apr 1, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 29-January 4?$0.00Mar 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 29?$1.62Mar 28, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?$125.04Mar 27, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 26?$109.86Mar 27, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $21.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 13:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.