Fickle-Sunrise
0x04563251542bcab6573bf68c842e3d000fcd5149
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$18.67
Total PnL
$0.17
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- SENATE
Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$9.65
$0.19
- NO
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$5.88
$0.01
- NO
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.15
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?$5.87Nov 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWhich chamber will move first on a funding bill?$9.46Nov 12, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $300 September 22-28?$7.65Nov 12, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by September 30?$7.68Nov 12, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $300 September 22-28?$7.64Sep 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by September 30?$7.65Sep 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by September 30?$15.32Sep 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15.32Sep 26, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$15.34Sep 26, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$15.34Sep 26, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$18.51Sep 26, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Euroatlantic Coalition win the most seats in the next Albanian election?$3.43Sep 26, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?$5.63Sep 26, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rodgers sign with the Indianapolis Colts?$9.45Sep 26, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?$5.62May 9, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Euroatlantic Coalition win the most seats in the next Albanian election?$3.43May 9, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rodgers sign with the Indianapolis Colts?$9.43May 9, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anton Pisaroglu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?$4.53May 9, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEM2025 March hottest on record?$10.00May 9, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUY2025 March hottest on record?$9.98Apr 7, 17:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $13.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 09:30 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 13:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".